Communication Services · resolved 25.02.04: Not disrupted In early 2023, would ChatGPT-style AI disrupt Google Search's business by 2024? Disrupted ✗ 3 on record 75% Paul Buchheit, Satya Nadella, Cathie Wood Not disrupted ✓ right 1 on record 25% Sundar Pichai 4 on record · 0 public answers
Communication Services · resolved 25.01.29: Pays off In April 2024, would Meta's AI spending surge pay off in revenue growth? Pays off ✓ right 2 on record 50% Mark Zuckerberg, Brian Nowak Doesn't pay off ✗ 2 on record 50% Mark Shmulik, Sophie Lund-Yates 4 on record · 0 public answers
Communication Services · resolved 24.02.01: Yes In October 2022, would Meta spend less on capex in 2023 than in 2022? Yes ✓ right 2 on record 67% Brad Gerstner, Mark Zuckerberg No ✗ 1 on record 33% David Wehner 3 on record · 0 public answers
Communication Services · resolved 26.02.04: Keeps growing In 2025, would AI chatbots make Google Search revenue shrink? Keeps growing ✓ right 2 on record 67% Mark Mahaney, Sundar Pichai Shrinks ✗ 1 on record 33% Eddy Cue 3 on record · 0 public answers
