Financials · resolved 19.12.31: No In 2011, would the bond bubble burst - 10-year Treasury above 4% by 2019? Yes ✗ 3 on record 60% Bill Gross, Alan Greenspan, Jamie Dimon No ✓ right 2 on record 40% Gary Shilling, Lacy Hunt 5 on record · 0 public answers
Financials · resolved 20.12.31: No In 2017, would bitcoin collapse below $1,000 by 2020? Yes ✗ 3 on record 75% Jamie Dimon, Warren Buffett, Nouriel Roubini No ✓ right 1 on record 25% Tim Draper 4 on record · 0 public answers
Financials · resolved 25.12.31: No Did Bitcoin close 2025 at or above $150,000? Yes ✗ 2 on record 100% Michael Saylor, Tom Lee No ✓ right 0 on record 0% 2 on record · 0 public answers
Financials · resolved 25.12.31: No Did the S&P 500 fall into a bear market (20% below its record close) in 2025? Yes ✗ 1 on record 50% Robert Kiyosaki No ✓ right 1 on record 50% Tom Lee 2 on record · 0 public answers
Financials · resolved 08.09.15: Full-blown crisis In 2007, was the subprime mortgage problem 'contained'? Contained ✗ 2 on record 100% Ben Bernanke, Chuck Prince Full-blown crisis ✓ right 0 on record 0% 2 on record · 0 public answers
Financials · resolves 26.12.31 Will Bitcoin set a new all-time high in 2026? Yes 2 on record 67% Robert Kiyosaki, Tom Lee No 1 on record 33% Peter Schiff 3 on record · 0 public answers
Financials · resolves 26.12.31 Will the S&P 500 close at or above 8,000 on 26.12.31? Yes 1 on record 100% Tom Lee No 0 on record 0% 1 on record · 0 public answers
Financials · resolves 26.12.31 Will Bitcoin trade at or above $100,000 by 26.12.31? Yes 1 on record 100% Tom Lee No 0 on record 0% 1 on record · 0 public answers
