Where do they stand?

Look up any expert or public figure. See what they actually said, when, with the source, and where the public stands beside them.

Who was right

Economics · resolved 15.12.31: No In 2012, would Greece leave the euro by 2015?

Yes ✗

3 on record 60%

Nouriel Roubini, Willem Buiter, Alan Greenspan

No ✓ right

2 on record 40%

George Soros, Mario Draghi

5 on record · 0 public answers

Financials · resolved 19.12.31: No In 2011, would the bond bubble burst - 10-year Treasury above 4% by 2019?

Yes ✗

3 on record 60%

Bill Gross, Alan Greenspan, Jamie Dimon

No ✓ right

2 on record 40%

Gary Shilling, Lacy Hunt

5 on record · 0 public answers

Consumer Discretionary · resolved 19.12.31: No In 2018, would Tesla go bankrupt by 2019?

Yes ✗

3 on record 60%

Bob Lutz, Jim Chanos, David Einhorn

No ✓ right

2 on record 40%

Elon Musk, Cathie Wood

5 on record · 0 public answers

Politics · resolved 16.11.09: Trump In 2016, would Donald Trump win the US presidential election?

Trump ✓ right

2 on record 40%

Michael Moore, Allan Lichtman

Clinton ✗

3 on record 60%

Sam Wang, Ryan Grim, Nate Silver

5 on record · 0 public answers

Economics · resolved 23.12.31: No In 2022, would the US enter a recession in 2023?

Yes ✗

3 on record 60%

Jamie Dimon, Michael Burry, David Rosenberg

No ✓ right

2 on record 40%

Jan Hatzius, Janet Yellen

5 on record · 0 public answers

Politics · resolved 24.11.06: Trump Who would win the 2024 US presidential election?

Trump ✓ right

2 on record 50%

Ben Shapiro, Piers Morgan

Harris ✗

2 on record 50%

Joe Rogan, Bill Maher

4 on record · 0 public answers

Communication Services · resolved 25.01.29: Pays off In April 2024, would Meta's AI spending surge pay off in revenue growth?

Pays off ✓ right

2 on record 50%

Mark Zuckerberg, Brian Nowak

Doesn't pay off ✗

2 on record 50%

Mark Shmulik, Sophie Lund-Yates

4 on record · 0 public answers

Communication Services · resolved 25.02.04: Not disrupted In early 2023, would ChatGPT-style AI disrupt Google Search's business by 2024?

Disrupted ✗

3 on record 75%

Paul Buchheit, Satya Nadella, Cathie Wood

Not disrupted ✓ right

1 on record 25%

Sundar Pichai

4 on record · 0 public answers

Information Technology · resolved 26.02.25: Keeps growing In January 2025, would DeepSeek's cheap AI cut Nvidia's data-center growth?

Keeps growing ✓ right

3 on record 75%

Pat Gelsinger, Satya Nadella, Jensen Huang

Demand falls ✗

1 on record 25%

Jeffrey Emanuel

4 on record · 0 public answers

Future predictions

Information Technology Is AI a bubble?

Yes

5 on record 62%

Sam Altman, Bill Gates, Michael Burry +2 more

3 on record 38%

Jim Cramer, David Sacks, Cathie Wood

Too early to say

0 on record 0%

8 on record · 0 public answers

Politics Do they support President Trump?

Support

0 on record 0%

Oppose

4 on record 100%

Brian Tyler Cohen, Mehdi Hasan, Cenk Uygur +1 more

Mixed

0 on record 0%

4 on record · 0 public answers

Financials · resolves 26.12.31 Will Bitcoin set a new all-time high in 2026?

Yes

2 on record 67%

Robert Kiyosaki, Tom Lee

1 on record 33%

Peter Schiff

3 on record · 0 public answers

Information Technology · resolves 26.12.31 Will AI smarter than any human (AGI) arrive by the end of 2026?

Yes

1 on record 50%

Elon Musk

1 on record 50%

Gary Marcus

2 on record · 0 public answers

Politics · resolves 27.01.03 Will Democrats win control of the US House in the 2026 midterms?

Yes

2 on record 100%

Piers Morgan, Megyn Kelly

0 on record 0%

2 on record · 0 public answers

Industrials · resolves 27.12.31 Will Tesla sell Optimus humanoid robots to the public by the end of 2027?

Yes

1 on record 100%

Elon Musk

0 on record 0%

1 on record · 0 public answers

Financials · resolves 26.12.31 Will Bitcoin trade at or above $100,000 by 26.12.31?

Yes

1 on record 100%

Tom Lee

0 on record 0%

1 on record · 0 public answers

Financials · resolves 26.12.31 Will the S&P 500 close at or above 8,000 on 26.12.31?

Yes

1 on record 100%

Tom Lee

0 on record 0%

1 on record · 0 public answers

Highest win rates

share of settled calls that proved right · at least 3 settled calls

Jason Cross · 100% · 4 of 4 right
Mark Zuckerberg Executive · 100% · 3 of 3 right
Roland Hutchinson · 75% · 15 of 20 right
Satya Nadella Executive · 75% · 3 of 4 right
Mark Gurman · 71% · 5 of 7 right
George Anton · 67% · 4 of 6 right
George Soros · 67% · 2 of 3 right
Amit Kukreja KOL · 46% · 25 of 54 right
Cathie Wood Fund Manager · 33% · 1 of 3 right
Soumya Eswaran · 33% · 1 of 3 right

Latest stances

Tom Lee says Yes to Will the S&P 500 close at or above 8,000 on 26.12.31?

said 26.09.16 on CNBC Closing Bell, via Stocktwits · source

Tim Dillon says Oppose to Do they support President Trump?

said 26.06.06 on The Tim Dillon Show (podcast) · source

Megyn Kelly says Yes to Will Democrats win control of the US House in the 2026 midterms?

said 26.06.01 on Piers Morgan Uncensored (YouTube) · source

Cenk Uygur says Oppose to Do they support President Trump?

said 26.03.20 on Piers Morgan Uncensored (YouTube) · source

Mehdi Hasan says Oppose to Do they support President Trump?

said 26.02.24 on Zeteo anti-SOTU speech · source

Piers Morgan says Yes to Will Democrats win control of the US House in the 2026 midterms?

said 26.02.17 on Piers Morgan Uncensored (YouTube) · source

Tom Lee says Yes to Will Bitcoin set a new all-time high in 2026?

said 26.01.21 on CNBC interview, via CCN/Yahoo Finance · source

Tom Lee says Yes to Will Bitcoin trade at or above $100,000 by 26.12.31?

said 26.01.21 on CNBC interview, via CCN/Yahoo Finance · source