Politics · resolved 16.11.09: Trump In 2016, would Donald Trump win the US presidential election? Trump ✓ right 2 on record 40% Michael Moore, Allan Lichtman Clinton ✗ 3 on record 60% Sam Wang, Ryan Grim, Nate Silver 5 on record · 0 public answers
Politics · resolved 24.11.06: Trump Who would win the 2024 US presidential election? Trump ✓ right 2 on record 50% Ben Shapiro, Piers Morgan Harris ✗ 2 on record 50% Joe Rogan, Bill Maher 4 on record · 0 public answers
Politics · resolved 22.02.24: Yes, invasion In January 2022, would Russia invade Ukraine? Yes, invasion ✓ right 1 on record 25% Joe Biden No, posturing ✗ 3 on record 75% Sergei Ryabkov, Sergei Lavrov, Volodymyr Zelensky 4 on record · 0 public answers
Politics · resolved 16.06.24: Leave In June 2016, would Britain vote to leave the EU? Leave ✓ right 1 on record 33% Donald Trump Remain ✗ 2 on record 67% Nigel Farage, Peter Kellner 3 on record · 0 public answers
Politics · resolved 22.11.16: No Would the 2022 midterms be a Republican red wave (20+ House seats gained)? Yes ✗ 2 on record 100% Bill Maher, Joe Rogan No ✓ right 0 on record 0% 2 on record · 0 public answers
Politics Do they support President Trump? Support 0 on record 0% Oppose 4 on record 100% Brian Tyler Cohen, Mehdi Hasan, Cenk Uygur +1 more Mixed 0 on record 0% 4 on record · 0 public answers
Politics · resolves 27.01.03 Will Democrats win control of the US House in the 2026 midterms? Yes 2 on record 100% Piers Morgan, Megyn Kelly No 0 on record 0% 2 on record · 0 public answers
