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Communication Services · resolves 25.01.29 · closed

In April 2024, would Meta's AI spending surge pay off in revenue growth?

On 24 April 2024 Meta raised its capex outlook for AI and Zuckerberg said returns could take years; the stock fell about 10% the next day. Would 2024 revenue growth hold up, or would the spending hurt the business?

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Outcome: Pays off · resolved 25.01.29 · Meta Q4 2024 earnings release, https://investor.atmeta.com/ · a stance dated before that is a call, marked right or wrong below

Where the experts stand
Pays off
2 on record 50%
Doesn't pay off
2 on record 50%
Where the public stands
Pays off
0 answers —
Doesn't pay off
0 answers —
0 public answers · one per account Closed to new answers.

Pays off — 2 on record Right

Brian NowakBEATS —
Best early GenAI winner in the group.
said 24.10.31 on Morgan Stanley note, via TipRanks · source
Mark ZuckerbergExecutive · BEATS —
Smart investors see that the product is scaling and that there is a clear monetizable opportunity there even before the revenue materializes.
said 24.04.24 on Meta Q1 2024 earnings call · source

Doesn't pay off — 2 on record Wrong

Mark ShmulikBEATS —
In internet it is very hard to underwrite which of those investments will pay back and when.
said 24.04.25 on Bernstein note, via Globe and Mail · source
For all Meta's bold AI plans, it can't afford to take its eye off the nucleus of the business.
said 24.04.25 on Hargreaves Lansdown, via CNN · source
How it resolves · 25.01.29 · Resolves 'Pays off' if Meta's full-year 2024 revenue growth beats 2023's 16% with operating margin not lower than 2023's 35%. What happened: 2024 revenue $164.5B, up 22%; operating margin 42%. · by Meta Q4 and full year 2024 earnings release Dispute a quote