Macro Trends · resolved 20.03.23: Crash and lockdowns In February 2020, would COVID-19 crash markets and shut down the US? Contained / overblown ✗ 3 on record 75% Larry Kudlow, Donald Trump, Elon Musk Crash and lockdowns ✓ right 1 on record 25% Bill Ackman 4 on record · 0 public answers
Macro Trends · resolved 17.12.31: No In 2016, would China suffer a hard landing by 2017? Yes ✗ 2 on record 67% George Soros, Kyle Bass No ✓ right 1 on record 33% Stephen Roach 3 on record · 0 public answers
Macro Trends · resolved 22.07.13: Not transitory In 2021, was the surge in US inflation 'transitory'? Transitory ✗ 3 on record 100% Jerome Powell, Janet Yellen, Cathie Wood Not transitory ✓ right 0 on record 0% 3 on record · 0 public answers
