Mohnish Pabrai
Fund Manager · investor
Mohnish Pabrai is an investor and fund manager who founded Pabrai Investment Funds. He is known for his focus on value investing and for authoring books including The Dhandho Investor.
Sources: blog (https://www.chaiwithpabrai.com/articles.html) · x (MohnishPabrai) · youtube (@mohnishpabrai)
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B · Background9of 10 · n=15
E · Expertise9of 10 · n=15
A · Authoritativeness8of 10 · n=15
T · Trustworthiness8of 10 · n=15
S · Source8of 10 · n=15
BEATS 8 of 10 · n=15 · measured 26.09.07
Win rate by category
share of settled calls that proved right, in each categoryNo settled calls yet — a category shows once one of their calls resolves.
Where they stand
their own words, with a date and a sourceNo stances on record yet.
Track record
11 claims · an outcome shows once the claim resolves| Outcome | Claim | Call · when | Source |
|---|---|---|---|
| — | Pabrai predicts a big market dislocation in the next 5-10 years. resolves 36.08.24 |
bearish · 26.08.27 | Mohnish Pabrai's Interview with New Money on July 21, 2026 |
| — | South Korea's population is declining rapidly, faster than Japan, which will challenge the country's total output and eventually reflect in the stock market. resolves 28.06.30 |
bearish · 26.07.01 | Mohnish Pabrai's Interview with Knowledge Inside podcast on June 8, 2026 |
| — | The party has only just started. resolves 26.09.29 |
bullish · 26.07.01 | Mohnish Pabrai's Interview with Knowledge Inside podcast on June 8, 2026 |
| — | AI is deeply loved, and people will soon sell their AI holdings to buy the next shiny object, which he predicts will be the SpaceX IPO. resolves 27.07.01 |
bearish · 26.07.01 | Mohnish Pabrai's Interview with Knowledge Inside podcast on June 8, 2026 |
| — | Pabrai is bearish on the S&P 500 over the next 10 years, agreeing with Howard Marks' analysis that forward returns will be between -2% and 2%. resolves 36.06.22 |
bearish · 26.06.25 | Mohnish Pabrai's Interview with My First Million on May 5, 2026 |
| — | Berkshire's cash will likely be half or less of current levels in 5 years. resolves 31.06.24 |
bearish · 26.06.25 · BRK-B | Mohnish Pabrai's Interview with My First Million on May 5, 2026 |
| — | 50 years from now we will still be burning metallurgical coal to produce iron and steel. resolves 35.07.02 |
bullish · 25.07.04 | Mohnish Pabrai’s Session with SumZero on June 10, 2025 |
| — | The National Stock Exchange in India, NSE, that's actually not a listed company. It's a private company and it'll probably go public in the next maybe what year or two probably and it's a great business. resolves 27.07.04 |
bullish · 25.07.04 | Mohnish Pabrai’s Session with SumZero on June 10, 2025 |
| — | Amazon could be in its infancy today; in 30 years we may look back and see it was a bargain in 2025. resolves 35.06.10 |
bullish · 25.06.12 · AMZN | Mohnish Pabrai's Sessions at UNO on May 2, 2025 and Columbia Business School on March 25, 2025 |
| — | The next 10 years, many value investors will probably beat the S&P because the index is elevated. resolves 35.06.03 |
bullish · 25.06.05 | Mohnish Pabrai's Interview at the Investors Podcast on April 15, 2025 |
| — | We are now doing a thousand kids a year, and it'll be about 2500 kids in a few years. resolves 28.05.11 |
bullish · 25.05.12 | Mohnish Pabrai’s Talk with the My First Million podcast on March 27, 2025 |