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Energy · resolves 10.12.31 · closed

In 2008, would oil reach $200 a barrel by 2010?

With crude above $120 in May 2008, would WTI reach $200 a barrel at any point before the end of 2010?

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Outcome: No · resolved 10.12.31 · US Energy Information Administration, WTI spot price (RWTC) · a stance dated before that is a call, marked right or wrong below

Where the experts stand
Yes
2 on record 67%
No
1 on record 33%
Where the public stands
Yes
0 answers —
No
0 answers —
0 public answers · one per account Closed to new answers.

Yes — 2 on record Wrong

Today it is close to $150 a barrel. In 10 years, you are going to have $300 a barrel oil.
said 08.07.22 on US Senate testimony · source
Arjun MurtiBEATS —
The possibility of $150-$200 per barrel seems increasingly likely over the next six-24 months.
said 08.05.05 on Goldman Sachs research note · source

No — 1 on record Right

George SorosBEATS —
there is a bubble superimposed on an upward trend in oil prices. Price charts have taken on the shape of a parabolic curve, which is characteristic of bubbles in the making.
said 08.06.03 on US Senate Commerce Committee testimony · source
How it resolves · 10.12.31 · Resolves Yes if WTI spot closes at or above $200 on any day before 2010-12-31; the peak close was $145.31 on 2008-07-03 and WTI ended 2010 near $91. · by US Energy Information Administration, WTI spot price (RWTC) Dispute a quote