Economics · resolves 15.12.31 · closed

In 2010, would QE bring US hyperinflation (CPI above 5%) by 2015?

After the Fed's November 2010 QE2 announcement, would US consumer-price inflation exceed 5% a year, or the dollar collapse, by end-2015?

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Outcome: No · resolved 15.12.31 · US Bureau of Labor Statistics, CPI-U · a stance dated before that is a call, marked right or wrong below

Where the experts stand

Yes

2 on record 67%

1 on record 33%

Where the public stands

Yes

0 answers —

0 public answers · one per account Closed to new answers.

Yes — 2 on record Wrong

Niall FergusonBEATS —

The planned asset purchases risk currency debasement and inflation, and we do not think they will achieve the Fed's objective of promoting employment.

said 10.11.15 on Open letter to Ben Bernanke (Wall Street · source

Peter SchiffBEATS —

it's a self-perpetuating cycle which [eventually] destroys the dollar.

said 10.10.08 on YouTube (Schiff Report) · source

No — 1 on record Right

Paul KrugmanBEATS —

there is no question who was correct on inflation and interest rates.

said 10.09.03 on The New York Times column · source

How it resolves · 15.12.31 · Resolves Yes if BLS CPI-U annual inflation exceeds 5% in any calendar year 2011-2015; it peaked at 3.2% (2011) and was 0.1% in 2015. · by US Bureau of Labor Statistics, CPI-U Dispute a quote