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Information Technology · resolves 26.07.29 · closed

In April 2025, would Microsoft's fiscal 2026 capex grow more slowly than fiscal 2025's?

On 2025-04-30 Microsoft's CFO said fiscal 2026 (July 2025 - June 2026) capex would grow at a lower rate than fiscal 2025's, after reports of cancelled data-center leases. Fiscal 2025 capex grew about 58%, from $55.7B to $88.2B including finance leases.

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Outcome: Faster growth · resolved 26.07.29 · https://www.marketbeat.com/instant-alerts/microsoft-q4-earnings-call-highlights-2026-07-29/ · a stance dated before that is a call, marked right or wrong below

Where the experts stand
Slower growth
2 on record 67%
Faster growth
1 on record 33%
Where the public stands
Slower growth
0 answers —
Faster growth
0 answers —
0 public answers · one per account Closed to new answers.

Slower growth — 2 on record Wrong

Amy HoodExecutive · BEATS —
[FY26 capex] will grow at a lower rate than FY 2025
said 25.04.30 on Microsoft FQ3 2025 earnings call · source
Ed ZitronBEATS —
Microsoft has, by the looks of things, effectively given up on further data center expansion.
said 25.03.03 on Where's Your Ed At newsletter · source

Faster growth — 1 on record Right

Satya NadellaExecutive · BEATS 8
We will increase our total AI capacity by over 80% this year and roughly double our total datacenter footprint over the next two years.
said 25.10.29 on Microsoft FQ1 2026 earnings call · source
How it resolves · 26.07.29 · 'Faster growth' if Microsoft's fiscal 2026 capex including finance leases grew more than fiscal 2025's roughly 58%. Actual: fiscal 2026 quarters were $34.9B, $37.5B, $31.9B and $41.0B, about $145.3B in total, up about 65% from $88.2B. Microsoft itself reversed the April guidance on 2025-10-29. · by Microsoft fiscal Q4 2026 earnings release and call, 2026-07-29 Dispute a quote