Politics · resolves 22.02.24 · closed

In January 2022, would Russia invade Ukraine?

Would the Russian troop build-up on Ukraine's borders end in a full-scale invasion?

Outcome: Yes, invasion · resolved 22.02.24 · UN General Assembly resolution ES-11/1 (2022-03-02) condemning the 24 February 2022 Russian invasion of Ukraine. · a stance dated before that is a call, marked right or wrong below

Where the experts stand

Yes, invasion

1 on record 25%

No, posturing

3 on record 75%

Where the public stands

Yes, invasion

0 answers —

No, posturing

0 answers —

0 public answers · one per account Closed to new answers.

Yes, invasion — 1 on record Right

Joe BidenBEATS —

My guess is he will move in. He has to do something.

said 22.01.19 on White House press conference · source

No, posturing — 3 on record Wrong

Sergei LavrovBEATS —

There won't be a war as far as it depends on the Russian Federation, we don't want a war.

said 22.01.28 on Interview with Russian radio stations · source

Volodymyr ZelenskyBEATS —

I don't consider the situation now more tense than before. There is a feeling abroad that there is war here. That's not the case.

said 22.01.28 on Press conference, Kyiv · source

Sergei RyabkovBEATS —

We have told our colleagues that we have no plans to attack.

said 22.01.10 on Press remarks, Geneva · source

How it resolves · 22.02.24 · Resolves Yes if Russian regular forces cross into Ukrainian territory beyond Crimea and Donbas in a declared military operation. · by UN General Assembly resolution ES-11/1 (2022-03-02) condemning the 24 February 2022 Russian invasion of Ukraine. Dispute a quote