Politics · resolves 16.06.24 · closed

In June 2016, would Britain vote to leave the EU?

Would the UK referendum on EU membership produce a Leave majority?

Outcome: Leave · resolved 16.06.24 · UK Electoral Commission: Leave 51.89%, Remain 48.11%. · a stance dated before that is a call, marked right or wrong below

Where the experts stand

Leave

1 on record 33%

Remain

2 on record 67%

Where the public stands

Leave

0 answers —

Remain

0 answers —

0 public answers · one per account Closed to new answers.

Leave — 1 on record Right

Donald TrumpBEATS —

I think that Britain will end up separating from the EU, that's my opinion.

said 16.03.24 on ITV Good Morning Britain · source

Remain — 2 on record Wrong

Nigel FarageBEATS —

It looks like Remain will edge it.

said 16.06.23 on Sky News · source

Peter KellnerBEATS —

My final prediction is in: and it's Remain.

said 16.06.23 on New Statesman · source

How it resolves · 16.06.24 · Resolves Leave if the Electoral Commission's declared result shows more valid votes for Leave than Remain. · by UK Electoral Commission: Leave 51.89%, Remain 48.11%. Dispute a quote