Nate Silver

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Nate Silver is an American statistician and writer who founded FiveThirtyEight, a data journalism site covering politics, sports, and other topics. He is known for developing probabilistic election forecasting models and is the author of The Signal and the Noise.

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▶ N0S Investor's videos on Nate Silver

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Win rate by category

share of settled calls that proved right, in each category

Politics 0% 0 of 1

Where they stand

their own words, with a date and a source · calls resolved: 0 right · 1 wrong

In 2016, would Donald Trump win the US presidential election?

Clinton is a 71 percent favorite to win the election according to our polls-only model and a 72 percent favorite according to our polls-plus model.

Clinton · said 16.11.08 on FiveThirtyEight · source

Wrongresolved 16.11.09

Track record

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