Politics · resolves 16.11.09 · closed

In 2016, would Donald Trump win the US presidential election?

Would Trump beat Hillary Clinton in the Electoral College?

Outcome: Trump · resolved 16.11.09 · Federal Election Commission official results: Trump 304 electoral votes, Clinton 227 (certified 2017-01-06). · a stance dated before that is a call, marked right or wrong below

Where the experts stand

Trump

2 on record 40%

Clinton

3 on record 60%

Where the public stands

Trump

0 answers —

Clinton

0 answers —

0 public answers · one per account Closed to new answers.

Trump — 2 on record Right

Allan LichtmanBEATS —

Trump will be president.

said 16.09.26 on CBC Radio 'As It Happens' · source

Michael MooreBEATS —

And now I have even more awful, depressing news for you: Donald J. Trump is going to win in November.

said 16.07.21 on Essay, michaelmoore.com · source

Clinton — 3 on record Wrong

Nate SilverBEATS —

Clinton is a 71 percent favorite to win the election according to our polls-only model and a 72 percent favorite according to our polls-plus model.

said 16.11.08 on FiveThirtyEight · source

Ryan GrimBEATS —

HuffPost Pollster is giving Clinton a 98 percent chance of winning.

said 16.11.05 on HuffPost · source

Sam WangBEATS —

If Trump wins more than 240 electoral votes, I will eat a bug.

said 16.10.18 on X · source

How it resolves · 16.11.09 · Resolves Trump if he receives a majority of electoral votes as certified by Congress. · by Federal Election Commission official results: Trump 304 electoral votes, Clinton 227 (certified 2017-01-06). Dispute a quote