Gary Marcus

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BEATS — of 10 · n=—

Win rate by category

share of settled calls that proved right, in each category

their own words, with a date and a source · calls resolved: 1 right · 0 wrong

2025 will be known as the year of the peak bubble

Yes · said 25.12.20 on Substack (Marcus on AI) · source

open

We won't get to AGI in 2026 (or 7).

No · said 25.12.20 on Substack (Marcus on AI) · source

open

I don't buy the predictions for the next year.

No · said 24.04.09 on Substack (Marcus on AI) · source

Rightresolved 25.12.31

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